Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 22.792233 26.892950 31.959449 38.841827 48.222324 61.017509 80.704441
2024-12-22 17.468376 21.902191 27.953631 37.254201 52.130235 77.128384 128.834067
2024-12-29 14.900131 19.433275 26.046926 37.151132 57.274349 97.888649 212.741674
2025-01-05 12.775263 17.063395 23.582295 35.170080 58.051789 111.098488 310.231808
2025-01-12 11.067810 15.008430 21.160063 32.517255 56.318856 117.498578 411.675211
2025-01-19 9.832035 13.498551 19.348831 30.499901 55.112241 124.700929 561.559189
2025-01-26 9.984609 14.155076 21.204605 35.867268 73.483634 218.718356 3877.782261
2025-02-02 9.651521 13.966736 21.540790 38.261677 86.190751 329.376451 NaN
2025-02-09 8.833941 12.868768 20.038339 36.185137 84.300486 356.025000 NaN
2025-02-16 8.519593 12.601184 20.063108 37.678197 95.416446 533.749457 NaN
2025-02-23 8.079365 12.066742 19.491374 37.571722 100.877927 712.012410 NaN
2025-03-02 7.671567 11.553034 18.895254 37.267452 105.565865 953.980756 NaN
2025-03-09 7.347708 11.190521 18.618109 37.922453 116.233542 1643.257969 NaN
2025-03-16 6.878981 10.525328 17.636497 36.416351 115.566219 2081.142101 NaN
2025-03-23 6.567931 10.128510 17.178847 36.318147 122.651904 3786.237812 NaN
2025-03-30 6.154362 9.509092 16.176867 34.402723 118.060226 4318.923393 NaN
2025-04-06 5.726905 8.839843 15.015075 31.834857 108.347588 3623.671732 NaN
2025-04-13 5.374610 8.296219 14.092133 29.879868 101.710791 3407.674751 NaN
2025-04-20 5.538358 8.744196 15.392781 35.077047 147.241888 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 5.486558 8.768422 15.742047 37.391259 179.701762 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 5.199981 8.308360 14.910057 35.384417 169.555306 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 5.115893 8.248684 15.025339 36.827556 197.797536 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 4.958791 8.031493 14.739202 36.724674 209.749278 NaN NaN